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Election
79.72%
2008
82.33%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.15%
+4.13%
-3.62%
+0.54%
-1.64%
-1.51%
-4.97%
+0.16%
+1.51%
-0.15%
+6.90%
+3.61%
2026
-11.31%
+1.20%
-19.98%
0.00%
+1.19%
-11.16%
+3.31%
-6.72%
--
2025
-5.44%
-3.21%
-1.66%
-0.70%
+13.44%
-1.62%
-7.86%
+3.85%
+4.77%
-0.63%
+2.16%
+16.69%
2024
-3.13%
+5.20%
-2.41%
+1.10%
+1.22%
-1.20%
-1.22%
-4.25%
+12.89%
-6.98%
+12.96%
-4.47%
2023
-2.55%
+7.55%
-3.69%
-0.47%
-18.12%
-5.50%
+13.47%
-7.49%
-6.59%
-0.74%
+0.62%
-9.05%
2022
+9.75%
-1.40%
-7.79%
+3.95%
+2.32%
+19.81%
-16.88%
+6.84%
+1.55%
-7.64%
+8.17%
+1.34%
2021
-3.87%
+12.36%
+11.87%
-9.61%
+2.81%
-15.42%
+10.03%
+2.76%
+14.38%
-6.23%
+14.41%
2020
-14.86%
-9.58%
-12.73%
+11.37%
-10.76%
+3.33%
+6.15%
-2.21%
-4.23%
+16.05%
-4.95%
2019
+7.46%
+20.34%
+9.72%
-6.37%
-16.65%
+13.12%
-6.48%
-11.84%
+1.39%
+3.75%
+1.81%
+14.67%
2018
+7.31%
+4.54%
-14.33%
-1.10%
-6.06%
-19.18%
-12.71%
+0.13%
+4.89%
-7.98%
+9.07%
-6.60%
2017
+5.13%
+4.35%
+4.80%
+7.24%
+14.17%
-4.04%
-9.24%
+4.86%
-5.83%
+8.71%
+17.49%
+10.49%
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