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Election
81.15%
2012
84.32%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.53%
+11.25%
-5.54%
+1.02%
+3.89%
+4.02%
+8.93%
+5.48%
+0.96%
+0.40%
+4.87%
+1.12%
2026
+4.91%
+22.98%
-16.02%
+33.36%
+27.75%
+41.58%
-51.50%
+52.02%
-1.71%
--
2025
+4.77%
+13.92%
+7.11%
-6.74%
0.00%
+5.45%
+84.92%
+13.41%
+1.81%
-1.53%
+2.06%
+33.19%
2024
-27.46%
+17.93%
-19.74%
-1.41%
-5.01%
-8.79%
-8.40%
+0.30%
+26.54%
+1.66%
-3.50%
-8.94%
2023
+14.26%
+10.11%
-9.11%
-5.74%
-3.25%
+6.54%
+5.04%
-9.45%
-3.81%
+4.04%
+3.86%
2022
-8.76%
-2.02%
-22.89%
-8.70%
+18.77%
-0.39%
-4.18%
-1.29%
-14.65%
+1.73%
+15.27%
-6.54%
2021
+4.86%
+10.10%
+11.97%
+4.82%
+10.85%
+4.06%
+20.40%
+15.68%
-8.87%
-4.08%
+22.25%
-7.12%
2020
+11.90%
-4.49%
-3.47%
+15.90%
+5.31%
+6.09%
+33.86%
-3.55%
+6.13%
+8.38%
+18.40%
-9.57%
2019
-0.70%
+43.46%
-1.48%
-6.25%
-4.53%
-3.63%
-2.46%
+2.80%
-1.36%
-2.76%
+7.39%
2018
-6.04%
-6.43%
+2.61%
-8.55%
-6.06%
-14.52%
+1.26%
-10.56%
+0.69%
-1.72%
+2.46%
-2.40%
2017
-3.04%
+6.97%
-4.40%
-6.47%
-4.92%
+3.83%
+1.85%
+0.72%
-1.98%
-3.49%
+0.21%
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