China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited - 601888.SS - Seasonality

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China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited - 601888.SS - Seasonality

Seasonality Charts

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Correlation

Pre-election

78.99%

2023

85.25%

Year	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
Probability %	70%	60%	70%	50%	60%	50%	70%	70%	78%	67%	56%	78%
Average return %	-1.72%	+1.88%	-3.06%	+2.50%	+0.45%	+6.34%	+7.32%	-5.43%	+7.71%	-5.21%	-0.72%	+10.15%
2026	-5.49%	-9.84%	-12.66%	-6.76%	-9.20%	-9.85%	+8.01%	-9.53%	-0.91%	--	--	--
2025	-9.42%	+0.77%	-1.59%	+5.32%	-4.43%	+0.63%	+6.54%	+6.67%	+3.29%	+6.29%	+3.89%	+19.65%
2024	-4.64%	+9.13%	-1.93%	-12.32%	-5.21%	-11.99%	+9.79%	-11.08%	+26.54%	-12.14%	+2.54%	-3.65%
2023	-1.73%	-6.93%	-7.26%	-12.15%	-23.53%	-10.21%	+13.79%	-13.40%	-2.71%	-10.73%	-5.76%	-6.12%
2022	-5.86%	-1.97%	-18.83%	+10.72%	-2.91%	+31.82%	-9.89%	-6.86%	+1.41%	-19.11%	+23.15%	+9.39%
2021	+4.09%	+4.73%	-0.59%	+1.93%	+7.21%	-10.28%	-19.69%	-5.27%	+13.89%	+3.25%	-23.47%	+6.79%
2020	-7.81%	-4.27%	-14.39%	+35.86%	+10.88%	+52.16%	+57.76%	-14.40%	+7.18%	-10.56%	-3.11%	+46.20%
2019	-9.47%	+17.06%	+9.84%	+10.57%	-0.13%	+14.55%	+2.09%	+5.50%	-2.53%	-2.91%	-7.25%	+6.15%
2018	+17.67%	+2.67%	+1.24%	-1.70%	+29.98%	-4.78%	+8.93%	-9.81%	+7.35%	-21.08%	+2.85%	+9.04%
2017	+5.44%	+7.48%	+15.54%	-6.51%	+1.88%	+11.31%	-4.09%	+3.88%	+14.93%	+20.07%	+0.72%	+3.93%

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