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Election
87.07%
2020
83.54%
Probability %
Average return %
-7.62%
+5.59%
-2.15%
+0.44%
+1.23%
-5.44%
-0.13%
+3.56%
+2.38%
-2.74%
+0.13%
-6.04%
2026
-3.27%
+2.84%
-9.86%
-2.48%
-10.01%
-11.96%
+8.49%
+3.65%
-3.86%
--
2025
-5.38%
+2.70%
-2.35%
+5.52%
+9.93%
-4.76%
+0.77%
+19.08%
-5.66%
-6.68%
-3.76%
-3.53%
2024
-23.65%
+3.91%
-3.46%
-2.00%
-13.33%
-14.89%
+5.25%
-12.60%
+22.35%
-1.68%
+12.52%
-12.88%
2023
+5.46%
+4.10%
-7.05%
-3.23%
+3.69%
+26.89%
+3.24%
+17.30%
+2.68%
-9.93%
+19.70%
-19.07%
2022
-4.70%
+15.09%
+1.77%
+2.48%
+13.91%
-12.00%
-2.65%
+13.01%
-9.54%
+0.61%
+16.75%
-9.29%
2021
-16.50%
+5.47%
+6.77%
-1.21%
+8.88%
-6.52%
-13.96%
+4.21%
+7.93%
-13.31%
+3.68%
+11.57%
-2.69%
-11.93%
-2.13%
+3.66%
+3.75%
-6.17%
+9.64%
+5.27%
-5.30%
+3.53%
-13.83%
-8.37%
2019
-3.07%
+18.23%
+13.72%
-7.92%
-10.85%
+0.78%
-0.95%
-8.54%
-2.95%
+18.45%
-14.08%
+0.48%
2018
-0.64%
-4.43%
-3.05%
+1.01%
+13.07%
-21.35%
-9.58%
+9.75%
-18.54%
+2.23%
-9.66%
2017
-21.78%
+19.89%
-15.87%
+8.54%
-6.75%
-4.44%
-11.85%
+3.80%
+2.15%
+2.91%
-22.02%
-3.57%
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