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Election
83.63%
1997
89.52%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.93%
+3.86%
+6.85%
+6.16%
+4.65%
-4.87%
-2.80%
-3.47%
+1.00%
-0.91%
-1.75%
+1.06%
2026
+2.34%
+8.82%
-3.16%
+3.48%
+31.83%
-30.28%
-2.40%
-11.36%
-3.57%
--
2025
-7.07%
+3.04%
+5.54%
+12.24%
+5.76%
+1.77%
+3.62%
+1.12%
+2.07%
+23.41%
-10.86%
+4.92%
2024
-5.39%
+3.16%
+36.20%
+4.35%
-7.48%
-2.02%
-17.94%
-10.06%
+17.20%
-3.85%
-2.10%
+10.33%
2023
+4.76%
+0.55%
-7.41%
+16.60%
+26.63%
+2.25%
-8.80%
-14.89%
-5.00%
-6.84%
-0.94%
-4.75%
2022
-14.15%
+2.97%
-8.89%
+1.22%
+6.27%
-4.31%
+19.43%
-4.37%
-8.71%
+16.59%
+14.23%
-10.41%
2021
-14.44%
+1.46%
+33.68%
-21.20%
+2.92%
-7.01%
-9.98%
+2.04%
+28.16%
-11.25%
-12.09%
+12.86%
2020
-5.11%
+6.68%
-12.12%
+9.66%
+1.05%
+5.60%
+8.84%
-1.44%
-8.42%
+9.80%
+3.10%
-0.88%
2019
+17.53%
+12.20%
+21.15%
-3.12%
-14.54%
+0.90%
-9.10%
-8.54%
-3.23%
-8.53%
-2.03%
+1.24%
2018
-9.60%
-3.73%
+7.60%
-12.47%
-0.95%
-11.02%
+5.03%
-8.38%
-5.78%
-12.87%
+9.32%
+4.37%
2017
+1.80%
+3.43%
-4.06%
+50.84%
-4.95%
-4.59%
-16.71%
+21.14%
-7.27%
-14.63%
-14.39%
-8.10%
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