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Election
69.44%
2014
79.10%
Probability %
Average return %
-4.41%
+5.81%
+6.02%
+2.71%
+6.92%
-10.23%
+1.02%
-1.46%
+1.38%
-2.28%
+8.16%
-4.94%
2026
+10.85%
+3.52%
+7.90%
-2.53%
+3.79%
-23.14%
+12.50%
+1.25%
+10.20%
--
2025
-3.28%
+4.38%
+13.21%
+3.33%
+16.76%
-2.15%
-3.29%
+1.62%
-3.19%
+5.19%
-2.59%
-5.07%
2024
-11.03%
+3.27%
+6.34%
+5.54%
+8.58%
-14.59%
-3.70%
-7.12%
+24.45%
+3.42%
+1.32%
-11.85%
2023
+1.88%
-0.44%
-8.21%
-10.56%
+8.74%
-4.06%
+5.87%
-9.62%
-6.77%
-2.90%
-1.60%
-2.63%
2022
-17.23%
+16.46%
+4.21%
+69.39%
+24.22%
-24.61%
+7.70%
-7.74%
-16.79%
+1.71%
+36.72%
-18.07%
2021
-16.93%
+3.11%
+19.93%
-3.35%
+22.98%
-16.22%
-10.38%
+2.97%
+24.32%
-6.85%
+5.51%
+10.45%
2020
-2.66%
-8.97%
-4.84%
+2.28%
+4.97%
-3.76%
+10.53%
+12.60%
-7.09%
-9.25%
+7.77%
+4.65%
2019
-11.61%
+36.59%
+22.53%
-10.99%
-7.81%
+3.01%
-5.84%
-5.21%
-0.30%
+0.89%
-3.10%
+3.05%
2018
-4.90%
-1.79%
+1.48%
-9.00%
-8.41%
-17.95%
+0.99%
-4.23%
-0.68%
-10.96%
+45.77%
-20.45%
2017
+10.84%
+1.97%
-2.37%
-16.96%
-4.61%
+1.21%
-4.22%
+0.91%
-1.56%
-1.76%
-16.34%
-4.58%
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