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Election
43.71%
2002
79.85%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.96%
+7.20%
-6.11%
-2.86%
+6.70%
-0.82%
+11.99%
+3.83%
+0.09%
-6.30%
+9.68%
-2.55%
2026
+2.74%
+16.49%
-7.63%
+33.26%
-23.59%
-9.71%
-16.70%
+7.10%
-8.23%
--
2025
-5.86%
+7.51%
-2.85%
-12.30%
-1.51%
+5.04%
+13.50%
+0.83%
+11.30%
+7.70%
+5.13%
-5.03%
2024
-24.83%
+12.88%
-10.51%
+0.32%
-6.47%
-11.29%
+0.39%
+5.40%
+22.79%
-6.51%
+7.42%
-8.86%
2023
+14.17%
-7.51%
-11.38%
-8.75%
-4.85%
-5.55%
+3.85%
-19.14%
-4.62%
+7.12%
-9.01%
+23.65%
2022
-24.22%
+25.43%
-20.85%
-15.69%
+23.56%
+34.32%
-5.69%
-6.35%
-15.53%
-7.38%
+16.87%
-14.52%
2021
+26.81%
-11.00%
+3.07%
+3.25%
+82.36%
+90.90%
+52.60%
-28.46%
-6.57%
+16.91%
-12.18%
2020
+3.89%
-2.84%
-9.96%
+0.15%
+10.01%
+4.02%
+14.80%
+6.17%
+0.84%
+40.24%
+2.61%
2019
-5.79%
+29.92%
+2.06%
-3.92%
+0.25%
-3.82%
-4.87%
-3.37%
-1.81%
-9.37%
+10.82%
+5.52%
2018
-6.50%
-5.38%
-3.38%
-6.33%
-2.47%
-21.45%
+5.61%
-4.13%
-3.49%
-21.79%
+6.39%
-13.92%
2017
0.00%
+6.52%
+0.33%
-18.63%
-10.33%
+18.07%
-0.84%
+19.83%
-14.34%
-0.19%
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