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Election
64.09%
2009
74.14%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.33%
+5.77%
-1.18%
-2.21%
+5.15%
-4.46%
+2.83%
-3.52%
+4.54%
-0.51%
-3.51%
+1.24%
2026
+20.21%
+16.96%
-17.91%
+0.31%
+9.95%
-28.27%
+5.83%
-9.36%
-1.62%
--
2025
-2.09%
-0.97%
+3.14%
+1.52%
-3.37%
-1.94%
+1.98%
+0.19%
+20.31%
-5.79%
-4.44%
+0.71%
2024
-9.32%
+7.52%
+1.86%
+8.47%
+24.68%
-9.81%
-1.88%
-9.56%
+16.28%
+11.09%
-9.49%
-4.88%
2023
-0.82%
-3.48%
-4.63%
-1.98%
+3.67%
-4.60%
-0.37%
-6.70%
-2.00%
-4.68%
-4.06%
2022
-15.73%
+15.67%
-5.42%
-24.70%
+15.53%
-4.66%
+5.04%
-10.14%
-8.69%
-1.17%
+6.76%
-3.64%
2021
-4.92%
+5.67%
+15.85%
-7.24%
+16.05%
+7.29%
-2.79%
+13.80%
+17.01%
+1.75%
-3.57%
+24.69%
2020
+21.02%
+0.53%
-11.26%
+13.27%
-6.51%
+3.62%
+16.94%
-2.07%
-7.04%
-2.27%
+5.17%
+4.91%
2019
-4.08%
+22.13%
+7.32%
+7.14%
-8.18%
+4.95%
-5.66%
-5.67%
+6.01%
+13.00%
-7.37%
0.00%
2018
-10.28%
-8.02%
+3.12%
-5.44%
-0.32%
-9.29%
+10.60%
-8.31%
+2.09%
+0.38%
-6.13%
2017
-7.31%
+1.64%
-3.88%
-13.45%
-1.39%
+2.61%
-3.13%
-5.25%
-14.93%
-2.51%
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