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Election
83.30%
2006
90.59%
Probability %
Average return %
-3.02%
+7.70%
+1.73%
+3.19%
+3.44%
+9.70%
-2.89%
+3.52%
+7.87%
-4.54%
-0.48%
+2.53%
2026
-2.42%
+16.08%
+15.18%
+15.49%
+27.10%
+21.52%
-48.34%
+9.84%
+2.91%
--
2025
-9.24%
+12.98%
-7.45%
-1.31%
+4.04%
+11.42%
+7.55%
+35.32%
+35.17%
-13.69%
-8.76%
+8.92%
2024
-13.27%
+22.94%
+6.52%
-0.47%
-10.94%
-0.10%
-3.17%
+3.14%
+16.83%
+12.77%
-9.32%
+21.25%
2023
+14.32%
+6.18%
+27.56%
+31.13%
+4.11%
+9.57%
-5.34%
-12.59%
+7.06%
-16.39%
+5.12%
+0.57%
2022
-12.24%
+0.41%
-17.84%
-16.56%
+21.51%
+13.30%
-4.75%
-4.12%
-12.67%
-9.25%
+3.58%
-5.53%
2021
-1.72%
-6.76%
-2.21%
+4.66%
+11.36%
+19.26%
-3.96%
+8.43%
-1.40%
+4.17%
-7.13%
2020
+9.02%
-4.48%
-6.58%
+5.88%
-7.03%
+25.73%
-4.30%
+4.15%
-6.28%
+2.02%
+5.93%
-5.96%
2019
-1.84%
+25.43%
+5.03%
-3.69%
-1.75%
+8.28%
+4.93%
+4.94%
+8.96%
+5.16%
-9.07%
+11.79%
2018
-8.87%
+1.19%
+1.11%
+6.92%
-12.16%
+1.18%
-6.22%
+7.22%
-26.73%
+10.40%
+0.42%
2017
-3.90%
+3.06%
-4.00%
-2.62%
-6.83%
+8.07%
+4.74%
+6.10%
+6.64%
-6.39%
-1.60%
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