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Election
48.53%
2012
71.17%
Probability %
Average return %
-6.04%
+10.24%
-6.74%
-7.79%
+1.47%
+2.79%
+6.35%
-0.63%
+3.55%
+0.95%
+2.05%
-0.42%
2026
+0.36%
+1.45%
-22.55%
-11.62%
+19.92%
-17.81%
-10.30%
+5.15%
-11.48%
--
2025
-5.96%
+37.67%
-6.49%
-6.68%
-3.30%
+5.26%
-1.67%
+9.13%
-1.90%
-9.93%
+0.10%
+7.41%
2024
-35.26%
+14.83%
+3.82%
-4.57%
-3.59%
-6.90%
+3.11%
-5.60%
+36.53%
+11.37%
-3.20%
-2.79%
2023
+10.51%
-4.32%
-2.22%
-26.97%
-0.43%
+4.41%
+19.98%
-17.51%
-1.04%
+12.83%
+6.24%
-10.44%
2022
-23.99%
+1.03%
-20.29%
-23.37%
+15.91%
+16.45%
+14.84%
-7.71%
-15.79%
-2.19%
-4.25%
-3.66%
2021
-3.29%
+4.70%
-4.68%
+11.22%
+11.80%
+5.96%
+32.32%
-3.74%
-1.37%
+22.82%
+4.29%
+14.65%
2020
+10.79%
-9.18%
-21.35%
+0.39%
+4.04%
+15.63%
-6.16%
+6.56%
-13.44%
-6.93%
+15.09%
-10.79%
2019
+1.92%
+34.37%
+17.20%
-4.30%
-14.19%
+5.71%
+21.73%
-0.70%
+28.32%
-0.92%
-0.09%
+21.00%
2018
-7.50%
+12.16%
-2.91%
-7.86%
-8.53%
-4.79%
-7.60%
-11.72%
-7.27%
-10.39%
+1.90%
-5.73%
2017
-8.03%
+9.69%
-7.95%
-4.18%
-6.94%
+3.94%
-2.77%
+19.81%
+7.92%
-8.15%
-1.60%
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