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Election
52.24%
2011
81.93%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.00%
+4.50%
-4.86%
-4.03%
-0.21%
+10.02%
+8.23%
-3.44%
-1.09%
-7.10%
+11.18%
+0.96%
2026
+14.51%
-6.83%
-6.70%
+8.31%
-0.53%
+58.88%
-49.17%
+5.63%
+23.67%
--
2025
-5.45%
+21.27%
-5.74%
-4.09%
-8.79%
+1.49%
+7.15%
+4.02%
-0.70%
-11.86%
-4.62%
-7.16%
2024
-33.10%
+14.82%
+3.14%
+1.85%
-2.46%
-22.23%
-4.79%
-12.13%
+19.19%
-0.85%
+9.54%
+38.36%
2023
+31.91%
-5.13%
-16.29%
-16.43%
-14.31%
+32.18%
+7.25%
-6.36%
-14.77%
+4.92%
+4.22%
+4.41%
2022
+12.31%
-0.62%
-27.80%
+54.53%
+12.14%
+32.69%
-18.48%
-8.28%
-16.33%
+15.63%
-10.60%
2021
+23.10%
+1.18%
-7.39%
+3.64%
-5.00%
+9.42%
-4.08%
+17.31%
-14.05%
-13.08%
+47.35%
+14.38%
2020
-12.89%
-10.26%
-3.46%
+18.18%
-7.69%
+7.07%
+20.05%
-4.13%
+5.94%
+5.80%
+28.88%
-12.20%
2019
-6.61%
+16.88%
+3.57%
-9.30%
+0.25%
+13.43%
-13.07%
-0.20%
-10.59%
+1.59%
+7.85%
2018
+4.23%
-6.53%
-2.65%
-8.16%
+2.37%
-6.47%
+10.37%
-8.82%
-3.94%
-10.33%
-0.44%
-12.46%
2017
+9.19%
+7.32%
-12.42%
-6.51%
-7.34%
+7.46%
+49.43%
+1.68%
+7.04%
-11.60%
-1.49%
-13.94%
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