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Election
74.23%
2010
81.03%
Probability %
Average return %
-4.55%
+3.32%
-0.12%
+5.99%
-2.97%
+0.68%
-5.05%
-0.97%
+1.55%
+2.20%
-1.72%
2026
-4.45%
-1.24%
-11.95%
+8.21%
-1.65%
-8.05%
+13.14%
-1.94%
-0.99%
--
2025
+12.50%
-10.91%
-11.56%
+12.56%
-3.19%
-6.59%
-6.80%
-0.81%
-4.36%
+0.57%
+1.98%
-6.39%
2024
-21.59%
+6.56%
-7.69%
+2.33%
-4.89%
-10.96%
+5.00%
-2.20%
+23.22%
-1.52%
+43.83%
-5.58%
2023
-2.70%
+1.28%
+6.96%
-13.21%
-9.32%
-4.01%
+5.22%
-10.17%
-1.38%
-4.48%
+4.11%
+9.58%
2022
-15.22%
-4.62%
-2.51%
+12.32%
-0.74%
-6.37%
-3.40%
-7.87%
+0.22%
+5.16%
+2.56%
2021
-28.58%
+8.29%
-13.23%
-11.98%
+26.24%
-4.22%
+5.02%
-23.10%
-16.35%
+8.64%
-8.93%
+5.67%
2020
-9.50%
-1.05%
+18.73%
+17.76%
+37.99%
+12.31%
-7.46%
-5.41%
-6.85%
+6.84%
-10.03%
-17.54%
2019
+27.68%
+14.72%
+8.02%
+4.45%
-9.70%
+4.07%
-8.45%
-2.53%
+2.79%
+6.01%
+1.46%
-1.62%
2018
+9.35%
+7.42%
+7.23%
-5.82%
+11.57%
-12.73%
-10.97%
-7.30%
-5.55%
0.00%
+6.69%
-7.34%
2017
-12.95%
+12.77%
+4.79%
-3.56%
+0.53%
+1.19%
+18.52%
+6.34%
+7.61%
-2.29%
-24.44%
+5.17%
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