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Election
75.94%
2012
87.66%
Probability %
Average return %
-4.94%
+3.53%
+0.42%
-0.35%
+6.14%
-2.60%
-2.98%
-0.62%
+3.12%
+2.76%
-1.99%
-2.03%
2026
+27.31%
-13.70%
+9.75%
-2.61%
+10.02%
-13.33%
-13.51%
-3.04%
-3.80%
--
2025
-8.24%
+12.38%
-0.86%
+6.10%
-7.60%
+2.44%
-2.82%
+4.24%
+12.85%
-3.42%
-5.50%
-1.04%
2024
-17.19%
+7.82%
-5.00%
-8.03%
-14.46%
+7.04%
-4.61%
+35.52%
+59.03%
-18.24%
-12.13%
2023
-0.31%
-5.30%
-2.80%
-7.12%
+1.19%
+5.69%
-16.33%
-1.77%
-1.13%
+6.85%
-4.27%
2022
-21.15%
+3.26%
-9.28%
+1.23%
+67.68%
-13.13%
-10.12%
-9.57%
-5.80%
-5.43%
+8.43%
+13.60%
2021
-8.49%
+4.51%
+6.00%
+15.38%
+11.96%
+0.35%
-5.06%
+36.40%
-6.33%
-17.41%
+8.19%
+6.60%
2020
-8.43%
+5.19%
+10.13%
+5.42%
+19.91%
+7.65%
-8.32%
-7.18%
-0.81%
+2.87%
-12.97%
2019
-14.10%
+31.84%
+1.97%
-2.63%
-13.87%
-0.21%
-6.29%
-1.34%
-5.90%
+10.84%
-11.30%
+3.19%
2018
-7.98%
+10.01%
-4.91%
+9.30%
-13.07%
-6.02%
-3.36%
+2.32%
-17.80%
+2.36%
-5.08%
2017
-5.26%
+10.90%
-10.78%
-14.05%
-5.49%
+4.35%
-6.37%
-0.25%
+4.34%
+0.95%
-11.54%
-6.13%
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