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Election
74.42%
2008
81.14%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.77%
+7.40%
+3.54%
+0.52%
-6.84%
+4.97%
+1.32%
+0.77%
+1.40%
-3.63%
+0.34%
-2.49%
2026
+0.11%
+1.58%
-12.51%
+9.73%
-9.73%
-1.20%
+1.39%
-1.79%
-4.14%
--
2025
-5.31%
+8.51%
+3.53%
-7.64%
-3.05%
+4.20%
+2.39%
+19.43%
+3.76%
+1.49%
-7.38%
0.00%
2024
-15.77%
+19.11%
+2.11%
-4.81%
-8.89%
-5.67%
-2.98%
-8.53%
+25.51%
-4.53%
-0.67%
-2.02%
2023
+11.85%
+14.62%
+55.93%
+3.80%
-15.47%
-0.45%
+11.14%
-1.69%
+3.20%
-8.40%
-5.25%
-4.55%
2022
-18.74%
-1.99%
-11.50%
+1.03%
-3.29%
+1.55%
-9.81%
-0.47%
-12.82%
-9.88%
+2.59%
-4.80%
2021
+22.57%
-14.07%
+17.76%
-4.90%
-1.41%
-8.78%
+0.14%
+8.94%
+3.04%
-8.18%
+12.72%
-4.36%
2020
+1.21%
-3.68%
-16.56%
+4.33%
-11.80%
+29.10%
+10.83%
+7.37%
-10.32%
+10.29%
-7.61%
-4.79%
2019
+7.85%
+28.07%
+3.73%
+0.61%
-24.21%
+15.97%
+11.23%
-0.56%
+7.53%
-6.66%
+5.09%
+17.36%
2018
+13.77%
+10.01%
-11.35%
-12.18%
+7.78%
-7.01%
-16.67%
-17.24%
-5.02%
-22.07%
+15.90%
-14.09%
2017
+0.15%
+11.82%
+4.24%
+15.22%
+1.63%
+21.98%
+5.57%
+2.28%
-2.27%
+15.29%
-12.29%
-5.14%
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