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Election
83.18%
2008
83.64%
Probability %
Average return %
-6.01%
+9.55%
-1.46%
-2.08%
-4.26%
-1.07%
+3.66%
+3.81%
+2.96%
-1.60%
+1.73%
-0.49%
2026
-2.75%
+2.74%
-15.89%
+2.40%
-8.53%
-12.59%
-1.33%
-9.46%
-4.93%
--
2025
-2.21%
+14.11%
+8.85%
-2.81%
-5.92%
+0.92%
-0.30%
+26.07%
+39.30%
+6.34%
-8.49%
-2.77%
2024
-14.69%
+15.80%
+3.05%
+5.93%
-2.61%
-9.39%
-0.42%
0.00%
+18.05%
+4.14%
-4.84%
+6.53%
2023
+9.96%
-1.78%
-5.24%
+0.76%
+7.95%
-4.74%
-2.95%
-3.61%
+0.20%
-2.36%
2022
-24.69%
+6.95%
-14.27%
-17.46%
+11.58%
+9.84%
+5.86%
-4.62%
-14.68%
+2.27%
+1.29%
-6.57%
2021
-6.00%
+5.67%
+2.01%
+9.65%
+5.00%
+25.14%
+29.38%
-20.35%
+0.30%
+21.35%
+6.67%
2020
+6.94%
-14.43%
+9.04%
-5.52%
+5.56%
+9.14%
-7.88%
+4.01%
+16.45%
-0.66%
2019
+4.56%
+37.42%
+22.54%
+2.37%
-21.35%
-1.81%
-5.99%
-2.70%
-1.01%
-4.07%
-5.84%
+8.73%
2018
-6.03%
+0.47%
-15.59%
-5.78%
-15.32%
+3.02%
-3.83%
-5.85%
-14.18%
+5.80%
-14.58%
2017
-12.25%
+10.39%
-1.67%
-15.09%
+4.11%
+1.52%
+4.94%
+21.97%
-9.59%
-10.35%
+0.58%
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