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Election
80.09%
2016
82.80%
Probability %
Average return %
-6.09%
+4.45%
+4.15%
-0.60%
+6.38%
+7.78%
-2.70%
-0.09%
+5.89%
+0.93%
-0.35%
-1.92%
2026
-6.82%
+2.89%
-15.83%
+29.58%
-8.70%
+2.60%
-30.14%
+8.66%
-1.57%
--
2025
-1.14%
+4.59%
+16.51%
-16.70%
+12.44%
+11.14%
+0.59%
+14.02%
+6.27%
-7.79%
-3.78%
+14.15%
2024
-30.61%
+22.66%
+7.05%
-11.32%
+6.84%
+13.67%
-8.84%
-14.98%
+23.80%
+35.39%
-3.12%
-9.22%
2023
+12.56%
+2.83%
+5.27%
+6.30%
+15.45%
+26.46%
-21.90%
+1.06%
+15.12%
-13.08%
+1.98%
-0.88%
2022
-13.72%
+5.59%
-12.96%
-20.56%
+15.79%
+3.02%
+29.18%
-12.34%
+3.58%
+33.24%
-15.10%
-5.35%
2021
-18.11%
+4.98%
+2.86%
+3.37%
+11.73%
-0.51%
-1.39%
+9.40%
-12.60%
+5.52%
+28.73%
-5.03%
2020
-1.29%
+4.30%
+9.51%
+42.47%
+39.14%
-1.61%
-12.94%
+0.04%
-12.14%
-5.36%
-8.21%
2019
+1.22%
+15.57%
+24.92%
-16.83%
+17.62%
-13.32%
+2.28%
-6.25%
-3.65%
-8.26%
+9.01%
2018
-1.17%
-20.10%
+17.82%
+15.68%
-25.28%
-7.38%
+10.09%
+5.13%
+0.56%
-16.79%
+9.85%
-4.48%
2017
-1.80%
+1.20%
-3.24%
-24.57%
+2.94%
-5.24%
+7.32%
+11.29%
-12.36%
-8.11%
-7.29%
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