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Election
89.62%
2012
86.97%
Probability %
Average return %
-3.46%
+7.65%
-0.06%
+5.49%
+0.98%
+16.60%
+6.03%
+1.93%
-3.14%
+6.32%
-0.52%
+4.97%
2026
-8.61%
+10.59%
+20.75%
+80.76%
+14.10%
+23.14%
-34.64%
+15.47%
-0.93%
--
2025
+14.73%
-4.30%
+2.12%
-20.95%
+8.81%
+34.13%
+54.86%
+12.87%
+8.30%
-4.20%
+9.58%
+12.78%
2024
-31.24%
+19.76%
-2.54%
+5.48%
+2.01%
+31.85%
+20.34%
-4.50%
-1.05%
+33.73%
-18.55%
+13.88%
2023
+15.65%
+2.10%
+3.60%
-18.35%
+2.87%
-13.28%
-16.30%
-7.77%
+7.90%
-0.43%
-2.42%
2022
-9.11%
-9.99%
-15.74%
-9.53%
+11.30%
+21.90%
+16.48%
-3.18%
-10.48%
+9.16%
+2.49%
-4.52%
2021
-16.08%
-0.92%
-15.26%
-4.80%
+4.13%
+14.76%
+1.34%
-9.14%
-2.68%
+18.16%
2020
+22.11%
+0.11%
-27.17%
+28.77%
-12.09%
+28.38%
-2.00%
-5.32%
-5.00%
-4.17%
+8.14%
-4.97%
2019
-5.42%
+52.72%
+18.54%
-5.85%
-25.73%
+9.71%
+11.87%
+19.57%
+1.08%
+4.62%
-7.33%
+21.20%
2018
-8.65%
0.00%
-1.99%
-6.10%
+0.31%
+4.94%
-3.51%
-24.38%
-4.33%
-2.22%
-3.21%
2017
-8.02%
+6.39%
+15.09%
+1.36%
+10.52%
-0.12%
+0.36%
+13.31%
+2.24%
+16.81%
-14.48%
-0.84%
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