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Election
89.93%
2016
78.59%
Probability %
Average return %
-6.45%
+3.53%
+0.83%
-1.14%
-3.18%
+2.75%
-2.25%
+2.61%
+3.79%
-0.07%
+3.46%
+0.00%
2026
+14.68%
-6.23%
-12.23%
+1.01%
-2.00%
+9.59%
-29.70%
+12.32%
-4.13%
--
2025
-12.21%
+7.83%
-0.32%
+3.56%
+6.72%
+8.05%
-0.81%
+20.90%
-3.39%
+0.70%
-1.16%
+23.27%
2024
-30.60%
+20.14%
+8.67%
-9.97%
-7.98%
-9.31%
+2.65%
-5.17%
+20.91%
+7.52%
+1.54%
-9.78%
2023
+10.46%
-5.40%
-0.40%
-5.53%
-0.85%
+1.39%
-11.53%
+4.67%
+7.31%
+2.88%
-4.14%
-10.37%
2022
+2.64%
-0.16%
-4.35%
+6.07%
+3.82%
+6.13%
+19.48%
-8.82%
+5.56%
+38.52%
-7.07%
-6.82%
2021
-16.20%
+1.05%
-3.13%
+2.51%
+3.50%
+9.98%
+3.08%
-11.79%
-5.58%
-6.27%
+33.46%
-13.32%
2020
-3.09%
-8.10%
-7.82%
-1.88%
-2.33%
+0.42%
+0.98%
+8.86%
-5.60%
-1.08%
-2.04%
-5.56%
2019
-7.08%
+28.30%
+11.13%
+5.73%
-15.61%
+1.93%
-8.07%
+5.50%
+1.52%
-4.81%
+9.66%
-7.27%
2018
-19.96%
-7.42%
+22.86%
-9.30%
-9.79%
-10.07%
+0.44%
+2.76%
-2.54%
-21.88%
+16.14%
+26.36%
2017
-3.12%
+5.29%
-6.08%
-3.63%
-7.25%
+9.38%
+0.97%
-3.14%
+15.93%
-16.18%
-15.29%
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