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Election
82.13%
2012
74.55%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.40%
+6.18%
-6.76%
-5.76%
-0.26%
+3.01%
+4.54%
+3.93%
-1.84%
-0.15%
+1.57%
-0.52%
2026
+17.50%
+52.28%
-5.19%
-10.95%
-18.20%
-8.09%
-20.13%
+4.33%
-6.04%
--
2025
-6.74%
+2.41%
-5.49%
-12.45%
+4.27%
+21.36%
-3.75%
+3.50%
-4.14%
-2.35%
+3.61%
+8.53%
2024
-11.68%
+9.09%
-4.55%
-3.17%
-8.20%
-13.39%
+0.52%
-5.13%
+24.86%
+16.88%
+2.59%
-3.61%
2023
+11.34%
-2.16%
-1.58%
-1.92%
-4.58%
+0.34%
+4.78%
-6.19%
-0.35%
-3.83%
-1.81%
+1.11%
2022
-16.05%
+15.05%
-2.18%
-23.40%
+17.45%
+15.17%
+18.82%
-16.97%
-13.90%
+3.48%
-1.22%
-9.91%
2021
-4.94%
-13.61%
-5.44%
-5.79%
+18.77%
+22.41%
+27.93%
-24.77%
-1.71%
+7.20%
-12.04%
2020
-0.34%
-6.28%
-45.11%
-16.83%
+1.19%
+2.35%
+17.62%
+40.39%
-12.30%
-8.47%
+15.03%
+6.78%
2019
-1.40%
+5.68%
+1.92%
+21.66%
+0.46%
+2.93%
+2.40%
-9.80%
+8.75%
-4.32%
-4.36%
2018
-3.51%
-1.46%
+8.87%
+3.17%
+13.82%
-9.83%
-1.07%
+1.73%
+5.10%
+4.04%
-3.30%
+0.40%
2017
-8.15%
+0.79%
-8.81%
-7.94%
-3.03%
+0.48%
+3.83%
-0.46%
+0.23%
-5.08%
-3.65%
+7.83%
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