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Election
77.72%
2012
83.24%
Probability %
Average return %
-5.70%
+8.40%
-3.58%
-6.72%
-1.07%
+0.40%
+2.28%
+0.37%
+2.89%
-2.58%
+7.63%
+1.25%
2026
-6.35%
+13.90%
-17.41%
+6.85%
-1.01%
+17.72%
-20.41%
+18.55%
-4.45%
--
2025
-4.17%
+32.30%
+2.47%
-21.29%
+9.01%
-0.31%
+0.63%
+3.58%
-8.11%
-1.47%
-1.99%
+6.60%
2024
-31.91%
+21.43%
+11.03%
-12.25%
-22.26%
-8.01%
+9.23%
-9.90%
+32.44%
+9.51%
+4.44%
+1.77%
2023
+14.75%
-8.41%
-14.44%
-7.89%
-1.71%
+7.67%
-6.31%
-7.60%
+11.78%
-7.69%
+17.21%
+1.70%
2022
-23.54%
+1.13%
-20.75%
-20.22%
+12.77%
+6.27%
+21.15%
-15.43%
-4.80%
-0.50%
+5.57%
+12.80%
2021
-4.42%
+0.33%
+5.60%
-2.18%
+11.80%
+11.21%
+6.86%
+28.57%
-12.05%
-7.71%
+35.96%
-11.18%
2020
+10.43%
-3.91%
-3.93%
+3.80%
+0.70%
-5.33%
+8.02%
-1.79%
-5.74%
+3.57%
+1.58%
-10.59%
2019
-6.78%
+17.95%
+8.93%
-8.55%
-3.28%
-2.48%
-1.49%
-4.27%
-0.58%
-2.32%
-7.11%
+7.02%
2018
0.00%
+0.97%
-28.78%
-1.50%
-8.29%
+7.98%
-6.83%
+4.94%
+3.14%
2017
-4.98%
+9.33%
-7.31%
-5.43%
-17.70%
+6.08%
+6.58%
+0.30%
+5.06%
-9.74%
+8.06%
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