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Election
88.45%
2012
91.05%
Probability %
Average return %
-3.24%
+7.50%
-2.83%
-4.22%
+3.47%
+6.59%
-3.77%
+2.21%
+3.31%
+9.83%
-5.46%
+2.48%
2026
+13.50%
-4.38%
-11.79%
+7.80%
+5.44%
+45.40%
-50.00%
+26.50%
+1.07%
--
2025
-4.78%
+27.19%
-16.27%
-8.29%
+3.63%
+6.67%
-6.98%
+9.66%
+25.55%
-0.94%
-12.90%
+2.10%
2024
-26.25%
+21.94%
+2.33%
-9.45%
+0.29%
+4.53%
-7.83%
-2.90%
+18.33%
+70.23%
-20.30%
-22.19%
2023
+4.56%
-4.93%
+14.77%
+12.17%
+21.24%
+10.49%
+19.79%
-10.05%
+22.66%
+28.72%
-7.82%
-8.34%
2022
+18.63%
-5.57%
-12.63%
-21.93%
+14.20%
+5.95%
+0.26%
+9.41%
-11.63%
+17.63%
+2.91%
+9.57%
2021
-17.74%
+5.62%
+2.07%
+1.74%
+7.69%
+0.79%
+7.87%
-7.54%
-5.79%
-5.31%
+5.01%
+19.10%
2020
-10.18%
-7.69%
-8.99%
-3.86%
+2.51%
+6.36%
+1.15%
+5.45%
-4.53%
-3.84%
-1.64%
-7.16%
2019
-6.33%
+27.57%
+2.97%
-8.85%
-2.03%
-4.84%
-2.66%
+4.23%
-5.49%
+0.25%
-4.79%
+45.50%
2018
-4.94%
+6.33%
+5.80%
+1.88%
-13.49%
-9.41%
+0.73%
-12.66%
-5.80%
-9.89%
+4.63%
-7.93%
2017
+1.09%
+8.87%
-6.58%
-13.39%
0.00%
-3.54%
-14.20%
-8.35%
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