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Election
69.24%
2012
77.27%
Probability %
Average return %
-7.17%
+4.29%
+8.48%
-1.27%
+8.53%
+3.38%
-7.26%
+7.50%
-2.67%
+8.02%
+4.81%
+1.79%
2026
-0.31%
+32.92%
+5.72%
+74.14%
+28.55%
+13.52%
-50.33%
+71.42%
+4.42%
--
2025
-7.23%
+7.54%
+30.47%
-22.69%
-2.34%
+3.60%
-0.46%
+11.63%
-4.93%
-8.62%
-1.44%
+4.79%
2024
-32.67%
+7.90%
+13.02%
-2.25%
+1.66%
-2.17%
+1.67%
-2.19%
+6.05%
+27.39%
-9.72%
-2.82%
2023
+23.84%
-9.77%
+5.77%
-12.89%
+8.44%
+4.25%
+1.85%
-13.08%
+0.70%
+8.12%
+4.71%
+3.20%
2022
-22.44%
0.00%
-18.83%
-23.20%
+45.72%
+17.39%
-7.71%
-9.38%
-19.26%
+9.62%
+18.01%
-13.56%
2021
-8.83%
-0.30%
+14.11%
+5.98%
+18.19%
-10.30%
+21.30%
+20.24%
+17.52%
+16.34%
2020
-5.83%
-9.91%
-19.01%
-1.20%
+33.88%
+4.03%
-21.33%
-3.51%
-15.71%
-1.48%
+2.13%
-11.04%
2019
-9.34%
+23.31%
+31.92%
-12.88%
-0.95%
-4.45%
+1.28%
+16.51%
+30.41%
-5.66%
+7.12%
2018
-2.81%
-4.18%
+24.27%
-6.39%
-17.24%
+2.15%
-10.53%
-6.62%
-11.81%
+24.64%
-6.45%
2017
-6.04%
-4.88%
+11.73%
-19.43%
-22.07%
-3.30%
+3.41%
+8.08%
-6.84%
-1.69%
-6.90%
+18.52%
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