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Election
78.78%
2012
93.24%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.23%
+6.45%
-5.94%
-1.96%
+2.21%
+2.76%
+2.48%
-3.75%
-1.52%
-1.66%
+4.34%
-0.61%
2026
-2.37%
-18.56%
+8.45%
+16.70%
+8.72%
-33.41%
+7.29%
+12.69%
--
2025
-1.56%
+0.53%
-3.67%
+7.19%
+8.94%
+8.21%
+9.91%
+10.20%
-1.14%
-1.30%
-3.36%
+14.72%
2024
-25.50%
+12.27%
+10.63%
-13.60%
+6.30%
-18.76%
+0.73%
-3.02%
+16.42%
-0.53%
+12.78%
-8.29%
2023
+33.41%
-10.60%
-7.10%
-8.84%
-8.38%
+12.09%
+5.47%
-5.82%
+1.89%
-10.73%
+1.00%
-2.13%
2022
-13.22%
+2.61%
-13.88%
-16.52%
+8.03%
+18.23%
+10.70%
-12.58%
-12.30%
+9.79%
+3.61%
-0.23%
2021
-10.63%
+2.65%
-11.38%
-8.59%
+1.06%
+2.91%
-16.26%
+14.73%
0.00%
+4.17%
+38.38%
-7.32%
2020
-1.13%
+29.37%
-23.35%
+8.92%
-3.18%
+7.73%
+32.70%
-2.96%
-12.99%
+4.89%
+6.05%
-10.54%
2019
-2.84%
+38.00%
+0.45%
-8.18%
-4.53%
+16.54%
-6.11%
-1.39%
-9.61%
+14.61%
2018
+9.68%
-7.81%
-1.73%
+2.15%
+0.54%
-7.03%
-1.61%
-39.27%
-2.69%
-19.82%
+18.64%
-15.80%
2017
-8.15%
-5.33%
+9.22%
-3.62%
+0.24%
-28.47%
+9.47%
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