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Election
92.30%
2020
82.14%
Probability %
Average return %
-3.82%
+4.77%
-3.28%
+2.93%
+8.13%
+2.51%
-0.06%
+1.26%
+0.71%
-4.10%
+0.44%
-1.34%
2026
+13.81%
+2.78%
-18.75%
+9.40%
+26.39%
+6.73%
-33.59%
+6.10%
+2.37%
--
2025
-6.74%
+1.86%
+8.58%
-10.96%
+4.73%
+6.44%
+6.58%
+6.47%
+13.75%
+3.62%
-10.87%
2024
-21.36%
+11.04%
+5.26%
-11.94%
+4.07%
-5.92%
-7.05%
+3.39%
+18.22%
+1.88%
-3.37%
+3.60%
2023
+15.70%
-9.16%
-13.95%
+7.49%
-7.46%
+4.52%
-3.73%
-5.02%
-2.04%
-9.37%
+9.08%
-4.11%
2022
+1.81%
-20.40%
-16.31%
+20.07%
+29.08%
+6.96%
+4.76%
-11.62%
-11.79%
+10.54%
-2.71%
2021
-0.82%
-4.22%
-2.87%
+21.01%
+5.79%
-14.33%
+38.04%
-8.14%
-16.81%
+5.03%
+9.74%
+5.47%
-1.92%
+15.69%
+32.95%
-2.77%
+4.01%
-3.08%
-2.30%
-1.99%
+4.25%
+3.90%
-6.31%
2019
-7.02%
+15.51%
+5.44%
+5.34%
+12.09%
+7.58%
-3.12%
+2.10%
+9.73%
+5.62%
-9.22%
+1.56%
2018
-8.04%
+9.45%
+8.38%
-7.49%
-0.13%
-9.40%
-0.28%
+2.56%
-0.83%
-27.59%
+4.26%
-4.82%
2017
-10.93%
+2.92%
-2.61%
-0.23%
+18.57%
-3.65%
-1.33%
+2.69%
-2.02%
-8.55%
-10.14%
-3.38%
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