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Election
78.59%
2012
90.12%
Probability %
Average return %
-3.83%
+2.39%
-2.70%
-11.02%
-4.60%
+0.81%
+4.91%
-3.03%
+12.85%
-1.63%
+6.29%
-3.90%
2026
+3.26%
+1.89%
+7.23%
-11.75%
-16.81%
-10.76%
+2.65%
+5.73%
-2.17%
--
2025
-13.52%
+8.47%
-4.50%
-8.49%
+3.78%
+16.89%
-3.97%
+12.09%
-3.68%
+11.75%
+14.18%
-1.50%
2024
-16.24%
-10.20%
-8.71%
-1.66%
-2.53%
-22.08%
+20.56%
-11.98%
+118.32%
-3.84%
+13.47%
-21.98%
2023
-1.83%
-1.64%
-4.99%
-9.50%
-0.83%
-7.67%
+0.89%
+2.94%
+3.71%
-3.31%
2022
-2.27%
+5.81%
-20.00%
-36.28%
+12.44%
+7.66%
-1.19%
-6.20%
-12.58%
-2.44%
+8.25%
+0.69%
2021
+7.39%
+10.16%
-13.54%
-8.09%
+9.74%
-2.05%
+0.87%
+12.26%
+4.92%
-10.85%
+19.90%
+8.78%
2020
-1.90%
-9.52%
-19.07%
-8.37%
-10.10%
+14.71%
+40.56%
+6.14%
+4.22%
+9.90%
-8.05%
-15.73%
2019
-25.30%
+32.11%
+7.62%
-0.48%
-25.58%
+2.45%
-4.92%
-16.71%
-0.80%
-13.48%
+9.83%
+6.76%
2018
+9.79%
-12.86%
-3.60%
-15.37%
-5.62%
-10.05%
+6.94%
-29.19%
+9.81%
-23.77%
-3.00%
-10.63%
2017
+2.27%
-0.30%
+32.56%
-10.22%
-10.49%
+10.53%
-17.27%
+5.19%
-5.46%
+15.12%
-1.68%
+1.83%
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