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Election
74.97%
2012
67.50%
Probability %
Average return %
-8.24%
+14.53%
-2.95%
-5.67%
-0.58%
-4.86%
+3.19%
+0.08%
+5.96%
+8.51%
+0.34%
-3.13%
2026
-3.29%
+5.67%
-20.11%
+8.22%
+20.78%
-24.01%
-28.04%
+18.31%
0.00%
--
2025
-3.50%
+12.07%
+7.54%
-15.19%
+4.13%
+5.48%
-7.71%
+5.63%
+20.77%
+19.63%
-9.80%
+2.96%
2024
-29.50%
+29.85%
-8.77%
-2.60%
-6.93%
-14.90%
+16.50%
-1.73%
+34.71%
+28.17%
-0.51%
-11.82%
2023
+10.34%
+7.29%
-0.24%
-10.46%
+17.12%
-8.84%
+0.46%
+13.79%
-3.23%
-3.76%
2022
-13.48%
+0.85%
-4.78%
-14.75%
+9.34%
+16.46%
+5.43%
-7.99%
-9.52%
+8.98%
+6.82%
-7.45%
2021
-8.19%
+16.00%
+1.59%
-8.62%
+0.86%
+14.92%
-15.03%
-6.97%
+2.31%
+12.11%
+2.51%
2020
-8.96%
+3.83%
-12.63%
-0.90%
-0.91%
-5.83%
+8.14%
+21.99%
+9.38%
-4.74%
-3.79%
-12.81%
2019
-22.44%
+65.00%
+6.28%
-0.81%
-14.58%
-4.81%
+2.53%
-4.68%
+0.52%
+5.91%
-11.41%
+10.14%
2018
-2.82%
-9.91%
-5.11%
-17.80%
-27.78%
+14.36%
-23.77%
+4.12%
-11.86%
+7.69%
+7.44%
2017
-0.54%
+14.65%
+1.57%
-6.44%
+3.45%
+2.62%
+16.94%
+0.20%
+5.19%
-15.39%
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