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Election
87.03%
2012
78.58%
Probability %
Average return %
-5.15%
+4.33%
-3.24%
+1.52%
+4.13%
+3.68%
+1.37%
+0.00%
-1.20%
+9.06%
+5.13%
-3.07%
2026
+9.75%
+17.46%
-22.12%
+16.91%
+33.33%
+5.72%
-45.37%
+22.52%
+23.95%
--
2025
-5.53%
-2.80%
-4.04%
-15.22%
-5.04%
+2.07%
+10.89%
+3.22%
-8.02%
+5.94%
+1.68%
+8.02%
2024
-29.05%
+16.56%
-0.72%
+5.24%
+4.66%
-4.81%
-0.57%
+20.64%
+13.22%
-1.13%
-15.63%
2023
+18.54%
-7.51%
-3.50%
-14.15%
+0.34%
+2.84%
-2.76%
-15.40%
-3.09%
+29.38%
+2.14%
-3.62%
2022
-21.37%
-5.29%
-28.43%
-27.80%
+6.23%
+13.04%
+11.85%
-16.84%
-7.96%
+17.68%
+16.07%
-12.62%
2021
+1.39%
+3.60%
-0.24%
+12.81%
-5.65%
-11.90%
-16.18%
+27.33%
+1.91%
+21.43%
+19.53%
-3.83%
2020
-4.91%
+2.58%
-12.46%
+48.43%
+15.21%
+43.12%
+23.76%
-2.08%
-5.95%
+20.16%
+3.31%
+8.34%
2019
-4.55%
+19.09%
+11.69%
-2.99%
-4.78%
+4.85%
+27.78%
+4.35%
+0.12%
-9.02%
+4.83%
+3.76%
2018
-7.37%
+14.55%
-3.17%
-3.01%
-18.17%
+4.30%
-6.60%
-2.12%
-9.57%
+10.78%
-5.05%
2017
-8.37%
+2.38%
+12.92%
-4.86%
0.00%
-11.33%
-6.34%
-7.71%
-11.06%
-6.98%
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