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Election
81.16%
2012
89.36%
Probability %
Average return %
-4.15%
+10.06%
-3.23%
-3.62%
-3.28%
+1.73%
-2.25%
+1.82%
+0.67%
-1.88%
-0.23%
+5.24%
2026
+10.44%
+6.39%
-18.25%
-6.75%
-7.09%
-2.88%
-11.17%
+10.81%
-4.43%
--
2025
+0.58%
+12.01%
-6.46%
-4.28%
-4.33%
+9.20%
-1.66%
+15.17%
-2.93%
-7.29%
-2.03%
-1.94%
2024
-37.05%
+17.87%
-0.61%
-12.63%
-3.70%
-4.40%
-3.07%
+6.13%
+24.02%
+7.21%
-4.34%
+0.59%
2023
+9.84%
+7.13%
+12.69%
+14.70%
+13.53%
-3.59%
-13.57%
-1.39%
-1.80%
-16.34%
+4.06%
+32.13%
2022
-11.63%
+2.91%
-15.99%
-18.01%
+5.18%
+10.70%
-0.46%
-0.15%
-16.05%
+10.85%
-2.16%
-6.95%
2021
-14.24%
+7.19%
-3.47%
+0.74%
+9.71%
+6.38%
-3.79%
-10.94%
+0.37%
+11.38%
-1.76%
2020
+11.60%
-4.07%
-15.83%
+0.34%
-8.93%
-0.86%
+11.00%
+5.68%
+1.48%
+1.25%
+7.28%
-10.04%
2019
+1.51%
+34.94%
+9.27%
-8.82%
-15.85%
+6.02%
-5.17%
-9.59%
+9.16%
-1.99%
-9.46%
+23.26%
2018
-1.71%
+9.12%
+4.38%
-8.92%
-21.02%
+0.49%
-6.29%
+4.77%
-10.34%
+5.08%
+3.92%
2017
-10.81%
+7.14%
+3.43%
-1.86%
-3.38%
+14.42%
-5.31%
+1.62%
-1.68%
-0.67%
-11.88%
+7.93%
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