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Election
84.78%
2012
88.20%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.61%
+2.09%
+0.03%
+3.12%
-3.12%
-1.47%
-3.14%
-1.82%
-0.88%
+7.36%
+3.42%
+6.39%
2026
-9.38%
-3.25%
-11.75%
+11.65%
-5.61%
-4.96%
-13.05%
+1.46%
+8.25%
--
2025
-1.39%
+5.27%
-5.00%
-3.01%
+0.97%
+5.76%
+14.26%
-3.74%
+3.96%
+41.62%
-6.84%
-1.81%
2024
-23.63%
+11.64%
+0.72%
-8.12%
-5.30%
-6.42%
-1.12%
+1.77%
+26.64%
+2.64%
+20.88%
-14.98%
2023
+12.43%
+7.33%
+23.47%
+26.77%
+6.43%
-10.50%
-10.68%
-2.25%
-2.85%
+2.37%
+2.50%
+3.52%
2022
-20.45%
-7.89%
+0.25%
-25.37%
+9.45%
+8.18%
-0.42%
-4.50%
-12.81%
+16.72%
+1.01%
-0.86%
2021
+0.24%
-11.62%
-4.25%
-3.19%
+9.31%
+12.84%
-14.87%
-15.96%
0.00%
-1.79%
+18.68%
+53.20%
2020
+41.11%
+26.78%
-34.70%
-7.11%
-1.11%
+12.12%
+3.27%
+13.63%
-20.90%
+1.66%
-7.99%
-11.09%
2019
-36.38%
+26.90%
+5.22%
-2.06%
+3.91%
+2.03%
-2.55%
-0.73%
+10.12%
+11.45%
+9.32%
2018
-7.56%
-4.85%
+20.12%
+40.49%
-24.24%
-19.16%
-4.51%
-6.50%
-4.27%
-4.79%
+5.03%
+33.07%
2017
+38.91%
-29.38%
+6.23%
-19.06%
-16.43%
-6.28%
+0.39%
+3.00%
-2.35%
-13.94%
-12.85%
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