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Election
83.96%
2012
87.06%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.77%
+4.41%
-2.55%
+4.06%
+1.53%
+3.18%
-1.85%
+0.80%
+0.47%
-3.01%
+6.10%
-4.45%
2026
+16.95%
-8.21%
-21.87%
+16.29%
+14.96%
+1.97%
-33.70%
+18.78%
+0.71%
--
2025
-4.90%
+8.08%
-5.25%
-8.81%
-4.79%
+17.06%
+5.53%
+5.99%
+0.48%
+0.44%
+3.99%
-1.41%
2024
-27.06%
+15.03%
-7.74%
+11.67%
+13.19%
-11.79%
+3.05%
-10.40%
+29.94%
+8.85%
-1.28%
-3.55%
2023
+19.25%
-5.45%
+2.43%
-16.89%
-10.37%
-8.12%
-9.60%
-3.57%
-1.27%
-9.56%
2022
-20.18%
+4.65%
+1.24%
+0.57%
+5.60%
-10.16%
-12.07%
-9.16%
-16.26%
-6.09%
+22.88%
-8.01%
2021
+16.15%
+12.53%
-8.89%
+28.00%
+16.98%
+46.69%
-10.08%
-3.19%
-7.50%
-1.96%
+25.16%
-11.31%
2020
+29.41%
+0.08%
-10.85%
+16.11%
+0.58%
+2.64%
+15.27%
-1.46%
-7.30%
+0.07%
+6.84%
-10.68%
2019
+10.12%
+14.59%
+8.27%
-8.47%
+0.64%
+0.19%
+13.84%
-2.14%
-9.89%
-2.70%
+9.69%
2018
-18.12%
0.00%
+12.33%
+5.51%
-13.12%
-0.49%
-0.93%
-5.17%
-3.22%
-14.11%
+8.14%
-9.06%
2017
+2.80%
+4.86%
-3.38%
-8.40%
-6.23%
-3.80%
+8.36%
+13.83%
-3.11%
-9.62%
+3.87%
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