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Election
68.35%
2020
81.55%
Probability %
Average return %
-7.31%
+2.45%
-2.02%
-4.03%
+4.09%
+2.71%
-1.25%
+7.62%
+0.40%
+3.67%
+1.43%
-0.13%
2026
-7.13%
+2.06%
-18.53%
+4.39%
+11.65%
-18.26%
+4.85%
+39.35%
-5.91%
--
2025
-23.73%
+5.99%
-19.28%
-5.99%
+8.62%
+30.58%
-12.66%
+7.83%
-14.31%
-4.71%
-6.67%
+1.41%
2024
-25.20%
-7.61%
+7.84%
-11.45%
-8.42%
+8.30%
+0.62%
+28.60%
+49.76%
+18.80%
+26.26%
+29.34%
2023
+8.59%
+4.27%
+9.10%
-9.74%
+4.31%
-2.07%
+4.68%
+6.92%
-6.06%
+6.89%
+2.95%
-3.78%
2022
+9.90%
+0.89%
-8.71%
-27.78%
+4.18%
+7.87%
-1.64%
-5.45%
-10.40%
+12.50%
-2.86%
-4.90%
2021
-23.86%
+1.95%
-2.05%
-8.09%
+9.41%
+13.59%
+11.48%
-17.96%
-0.93%
-6.47%
+19.74%
-1.56%
-3.79%
-0.59%
-4.53%
-0.23%
+3.62%
+7.22%
+15.77%
-8.90%
+18.64%
-6.89%
-14.89%
2019
+2.65%
+27.30%
+15.91%
-10.22%
+19.52%
-3.92%
-7.03%
+6.23%
-1.92%
+7.45%
-10.95%
+8.20%
2018
-2.92%
-9.76%
+13.75%
+42.14%
-2.03%
-15.60%
-6.77%
-12.24%
-2.35%
-9.86%
+3.09%
-7.76%
2017
-7.66%
0.00%
-7.79%
-9.00%
-6.08%
+3.02%
-13.25%
+7.18%
-1.27%
-11.77%
-7.27%
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