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Election
69.88%
2016
90.81%
Probability %
Average return %
+4.90%
+4.50%
-6.64%
-2.37%
+5.63%
+14.02%
-2.93%
+6.78%
-1.95%
+4.40%
-0.93%
-0.43%
2026
+20.09%
-3.25%
-20.44%
-8.18%
+57.65%
+32.49%
-41.15%
+23.27%
-14.00%
--
2025
+18.77%
+3.08%
-5.52%
-17.84%
-2.59%
+10.01%
+2.29%
+36.39%
+7.62%
-12.10%
-6.56%
+10.07%
2024
-20.83%
+15.79%
+12.73%
+4.91%
+6.92%
+19.28%
-2.19%
-1.57%
+16.39%
+10.27%
-8.43%
+6.05%
2023
+26.21%
-4.06%
+5.96%
-13.69%
-0.26%
+1.12%
+5.10%
-0.49%
-0.16%
+6.35%
0.00%
+1.07%
2022
-26.41%
-14.02%
-19.74%
-12.94%
+3.84%
+4.93%
-1.63%
-0.09%
-15.17%
+7.91%
+6.73%
-0.94%
2021
+9.11%
-6.44%
-16.38%
+11.67%
+0.79%
-13.67%
-7.05%
-11.36%
+1.67%
-1.32%
+9.48%
2020
+49.64%
-5.85%
-25.22%
+25.48%
-10.78%
+72.02%
+17.15%
+5.08%
-6.95%
+3.46%
-1.23%
-6.73%
2019
-10.45%
+45.80%
+1.06%
-3.26%
-16.61%
+0.58%
+10.62%
+12.19%
+19.08%
+28.16%
-2.80%
+7.72%
2018
-10.20%
+4.98%
-8.74%
-17.82%
+10.95%
-10.38%
-9.94%
-6.59%
-16.06%
-21.66%
+2.07%
-17.59%
2017
-6.96%
+8.94%
+9.84%
+19.59%
-4.47%
+9.36%
+4.13%
+6.69%
-10.91%
+15.53%
+3.16%
-12.99%
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