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Election
76.81%
2020
70.08%
Probability %
Average return %
-2.92%
+4.36%
-0.98%
-3.02%
+5.68%
+11.63%
-1.73%
-3.91%
+2.97%
+2.58%
+0.37%
+0.08%
2026
-9.31%
+2.75%
+4.22%
+10.94%
-3.71%
+18.33%
-28.79%
+12.83%
+5.72%
--
2025
+0.82%
+14.80%
-9.51%
-10.81%
+9.03%
+28.08%
-8.20%
+8.93%
+15.06%
-2.33%
+7.51%
-0.46%
2024
-29.44%
+12.68%
-9.62%
-7.49%
-6.44%
-14.49%
-3.54%
-5.82%
+38.12%
+5.83%
+6.80%
-16.42%
2023
+9.36%
-8.60%
-9.46%
-10.45%
-6.09%
+6.24%
-1.22%
-17.26%
-6.98%
+17.52%
-2.60%
+3.07%
2022
-3.39%
+6.97%
-0.47%
-15.68%
+12.95%
+21.05%
-1.93%
-18.89%
-13.33%
-7.64%
+23.69%
-7.04%
2021
-16.24%
+6.34%
+1.51%
+12.53%
+50.23%
+42.98%
+2.54%
+0.88%
+5.26%
+18.98%
-14.36%
-19.97%
+13.92%
-6.23%
-18.75%
+12.60%
+14.10%
-1.15%
+0.64%
+4.74%
-10.64%
+42.68%
-8.72%
+32.56%
2019
+12.57%
+20.45%
-2.00%
-2.77%
-16.02%
-4.28%
+16.20%
+1.28%
+1.74%
-8.40%
-2.04%
+22.01%
2018
-1.61%
+1.64%
+28.99%
-12.11%
+10.80%
+0.79%
-20.29%
-8.67%
-25.42%
+19.92%
-11.47%
2017
-5.87%
-7.22%
+5.28%
-6.93%
-8.04%
+5.44%
+6.17%
-5.52%
+6.15%
-18.04%
-26.88%
-1.58%
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