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Election
83.90%
2020
87.41%
Probability %
Average return %
-5.69%
+0.72%
-3.63%
+2.27%
+0.77%
+9.83%
-5.71%
+5.41%
+10.84%
-3.79%
+0.44%
+3.00%
2026
+5.58%
-0.07%
-16.02%
+2.74%
-7.75%
-15.84%
+6.55%
+3.90%
+2.16%
--
2025
-1.64%
+4.10%
-6.27%
-11.35%
+8.59%
-2.39%
+0.14%
+3.84%
-0.27%
-1.75%
-2.06%
-4.76%
2024
-9.32%
+10.22%
+1.56%
-2.97%
-8.28%
-4.26%
-5.23%
-5.45%
+24.06%
-7.32%
+8.58%
-8.37%
2023
+6.11%
+3.64%
+5.63%
+16.47%
-12.48%
+21.11%
-8.02%
-9.75%
-2.30%
+1.17%
-2.66%
+25.68%
2022
-17.55%
-0.21%
-24.50%
-15.66%
+11.22%
+2.43%
-7.41%
+6.48%
-0.98%
-7.66%
+10.60%
-7.58%
2021
-15.43%
+3.53%
-10.59%
+4.22%
+2.88%
-12.75%
-11.57%
-3.87%
+13.67%
+13.15%
+20.47%
-6.72%
+18.58%
-25.89%
+2.21%
+0.13%
+31.00%
+89.33%
-4.25%
+77.37%
+8.17%
-1.17%
-24.04%
-6.61%
2019
-26.76%
+2.94%
-5.19%
-6.36%
+1.31%
-1.06%
-7.25%
+42.95%
-25.02%
+0.60%
+4.04%
2018
-10.79%
-9.92%
+12.38%
+32.07%
-11.91%
+9.55%
-20.51%
-16.59%
+1.44%
-1.74%
-7.98%
+24.70%
2017
+6.65%
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