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Election
62.00%
2009
70.24%
Probability %
Average return %
+2.88%
-0.31%
-2.99%
+10.53%
+4.10%
-0.33%
+1.27%
-3.49%
-5.41%
+8.67%
+3.51%
+5.45%
2026
-0.66%
-3.16%
-2.06%
+17.65%
+9.33%
-8.03%
-6.73%
+5.76%
+4.43%
--
2025
+13.57%
+4.70%
-3.89%
-2.81%
+11.70%
+4.09%
+10.56%
-2.80%
-7.41%
+9.06%
-3.21%
+3.84%
2024
+7.30%
+2.21%
-3.78%
+18.32%
+13.90%
+0.90%
-1.97%
-9.38%
-7.07%
+12.05%
-1.20%
+5.28%
2023
+10.02%
+13.36%
-0.78%
+6.79%
+12.22%
-6.43%
+4.19%
-6.15%
-1.07%
+8.78%
+9.07%
+2.84%
2022
-16.74%
-10.96%
+9.51%
-3.92%
-2.30%
-1.63%
+5.35%
-16.81%
-9.26%
+31.55%
+3.00%
+5.99%
2021
+6.31%
+22.20%
+11.69%
+15.94%
-7.08%
-6.88%
+1.77%
+6.62%
-14.50%
-1.38%
+0.35%
+26.40%
2020
-6.55%
-18.22%
-24.91%
+21.16%
-6.28%
+9.38%
+11.40%
+5.17%
+0.84%
-0.93%
+14.40%
2019
+0.13%
+4.53%
-3.95%
+23.47%
-2.26%
+1.54%
+3.68%
-5.97%
+6.12%
+12.01%
+7.26%
2018
-3.86%
-18.68%
-2.44%
+6.08%
+2.70%
+2.95%
-13.39%
-7.73%
-6.38%
+2.98%
+1.66%
+1.76%
2017
+19.27%
+0.87%
-9.31%
+2.63%
+0.85%
-2.11%
-9.29%
+2.14%
+9.79%
-4.46%
-2.22%
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