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Election
89.53%
2020
87.46%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.40%
-1.84%
+1.17%
+5.43%
+1.02%
-2.71%
-2.26%
-4.93%
-2.32%
-2.10%
+3.29%
+3.23%
2026
-9.61%
+4.65%
-3.17%
+19.34%
-10.71%
-32.31%
-21.14%
0.00%
-14.12%
--
2025
-1.27%
-4.88%
-12.43%
+11.11%
+1.67%
+1.91%
-6.70%
-6.61%
+0.31%
+4.29%
-5.29%
+3.42%
2024
-5.38%
-2.95%
+0.70%
-0.93%
-2.58%
+2.17%
+0.94%
-1.40%
-1.66%
+3.13%
-6.31%
-1.75%
2023
-5.36%
+8.49%
-6.96%
-7.48%
-8.18%
-9.90%
+5.93%
-11.62%
+4.23%
+4.73%
2022
+5.91%
-9.37%
+14.53%
-1.72%
+1.75%
-10.75%
+34.94%
-15.98%
-22.10%
+9.14%
+37.50%
+1.82%
2021
-8.84%
-10.07%
+29.05%
+18.33%
+19.57%
-15.23%
-2.68%
-3.86%
+8.60%
-3.43%
+3.28%
+11.90%
+12.02%
-9.02%
-7.77%
+1.74%
-6.86%
-8.59%
-4.48%
-5.27%
+1.03%
+3.27%
+16.21%
2019
+4.21%
-12.12%
-7.82%
-0.75%
+4.27%
+14.46%
-10.53%
-5.65%
-6.48%
-1.60%
-0.81%
2018
+8.42%
+2.91%
+10.38%
+19.66%
-18.57%
+5.26%
-2.50%
+0.85%
-16.95%
-1.63%
-1.45%
2017
-4.07%
+13.94%
-4.79%
-5.03%
+10.59%
+21.28%
-4.39%
-4.59%
-1.92%
+1.96%
-3.85%
-5.00%
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