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Election
74.65%
2004
90.12%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.30%
-6.25%
+3.23%
-3.42%
-1.38%
+2.75%
-1.21%
-7.17%
-2.47%
-3.36%
+5.41%
+14.39%
2026
-7.50%
-15.32%
-4.26%
-13.56%
-9.25%
+25.50%
-8.58%
-13.58%
-11.43%
--
2025
-4.95%
-25.28%
+23.38%
-26.61%
+4.40%
+3.68%
+0.51%
-8.08%
-3.30%
-18.75%
-11.19%
-5.51%
2024
+6.90%
-13.55%
+13.43%
+3.29%
-5.73%
+2.03%
-5.96%
-4.23%
+2.94%
-5.71%
+43.18%
+49.74%
2023
+7.56%
-1.35%
-4.66%
-14.08%
-13.71%
-3.88%
+8.87%
-9.63%
-7.38%
+0.88%
-20.18%
+59.34%
2022
-16.14%
+2.26%
0.00%
-4.19%
-11.78%
+3.05%
+3.33%
-10.75%
+3.61%
+37.98%
-3.37%
2021
-9.93%
-1.57%
+12.00%
+7.14%
+13.33%
-4.41%
-0.62%
-11.76%
-5.26%
-1.48%
+6.77%
+11.27%
2020
-0.32%
-9.68%
-23.93%
+0.47%
-7.66%
+3.74%
+3.90%
-2.35%
+4.81%
+9.63%
+13.81%
2019
+18.71%
-11.82%
+8.25%
+5.08%
+17.82%
+1.03%
-3.81%
-18.21%
+1.29%
-0.64%
-7.37%
+7.61%
2018
+16.04%
-1.63%
-4.55%
+1.30%
-12.39%
+14.15%
-8.12%
-0.47%
-8.41%
-21.94%
-9.44%
+8.59%
2017
-13.39%
+15.46%
-1.79%
+2.73%
+3.54%
-2.56%
-1.32%
-6.67%
+3.81%
+4.13%
-4.85%
-1.85%
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