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Election
78.50%
2014
75.52%
Probability %
Average return %
-4.87%
+2.41%
-5.41%
+2.88%
-2.02%
+11.30%
-2.81%
+5.53%
-0.17%
-2.05%
+6.82%
+1.47%
2026
+2.48%
+1.56%
+4.62%
-12.32%
+1.07%
+103.17%
-35.09%
+24.86%
-2.75%
--
2025
+1.36%
-1.07%
-7.17%
-7.58%
+5.05%
-8.71%
+4.61%
+4.25%
-1.96%
-3.85%
+11.68%
-1.72%
2024
-4.90%
-0.64%
-6.09%
+5.66%
+6.92%
-0.49%
+4.54%
-4.11%
+4.41%
-9.38%
+5.95%
-10.01%
2023
+0.12%
+1.04%
-4.48%
+0.60%
-3.58%
+1.86%
-2.07%
-0.99%
-1.76%
+1.28%
+1.89%
+1.11%
2022
-7.49%
+2.56%
-3.53%
-7.53%
-3.26%
-4.33%
-2.39%
+5.80%
-0.97%
-4.92%
+13.32%
-1.71%
2021
-25.98%
+17.13%
+1.75%
+30.57%
-21.32%
+9.36%
-2.25%
-4.61%
+3.86%
-1.80%
0.00%
2020
-9.40%
-3.32%
-28.20%
+24.71%
-5.07%
+7.77%
-7.06%
+22.94%
-0.53%
+10.30%
+12.22%
+19.53%
2019
+1.32%
+0.30%
-2.80%
-5.14%
+0.43%
+1.40%
-8.24%
+0.74%
-0.12%
-3.19%
+5.33%
2018
-5.81%
+1.26%
-1.03%
+2.61%
+1.44%
+17.60%
-3.00%
-13.27%
+0.51%
+3.55%
2017
+4.45%
+4.26%
-10.22%
-5.15%
-0.63%
+3.94%
+8.80%
-2.30%
+3.29%
+19.02%
-2.87%
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