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Election
93.68%
2008
89.71%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.49%
+3.76%
+5.67%
+7.81%
+1.18%
-1.38%
-3.93%
+0.94%
-4.55%
-4.74%
+4.93%
-0.33%
2026
+3.49%
-4.14%
-0.48%
+9.65%
-11.58%
+1.00%
-3.78%
-1.02%
-7.59%
--
2025
-0.12%
+3.78%
-13.63%
-4.63%
+16.69%
-11.61%
-2.63%
+0.14%
+0.43%
-6.50%
+0.91%
-5.69%
2024
+0.48%
+5.77%
-12.64%
-0.10%
+6.77%
-7.61%
-0.95%
-2.45%
-6.56%
+6.32%
-9.68%
2023
-5.59%
-4.73%
+2.48%
-1.82%
-7.10%
-10.96%
-16.04%
-8.00%
-0.97%
+10.24%
+2.65%
-3.45%
2022
+9.04%
+32.32%
-0.92%
+29.77%
-24.01%
+13.21%
+1.67%
+26.64%
-8.09%
+5.99%
+9.63%
+8.48%
2021
-12.93%
+13.50%
-5.30%
+25.88%
+4.85%
-19.71%
-4.62%
-7.05%
-3.65%
+1.60%
+7.89%
2020
-3.61%
-0.61%
-11.19%
+64.37%
+24.17%
-11.74%
-11.03%
+8.97%
-2.74%
-15.73%
-7.18%
-12.27%
2019
+23.36%
+1.46%
+6.21%
-13.06%
-0.73%
-2.51%
-1.81%
-5.57%
-1.85%
+8.72%
-3.58%
-3.70%
2018
-27.86%
+0.19%
+70.96%
+13.98%
-9.44%
0.00%
+12.51%
-5.09%
-12.49%
-31.66%
+20.06%
+13.44%
2017
+6.90%
-4.69%
+0.93%
-2.22%
-2.00%
-2.81%
+9.16%
-1.09%
-5.72%
-3.49%
+13.97%
+2.04%
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