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Election
80.63%
2008
91.64%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.29%
+5.37%
-3.90%
+1.84%
+11.69%
-1.75%
+2.53%
+3.90%
-2.46%
-4.82%
+2.82%
+6.89%
2026
+12.72%
-5.51%
-16.96%
+17.32%
+7.80%
-12.92%
-16.77%
+5.17%
-4.58%
--
2025
-8.18%
+7.53%
-23.14%
+6.35%
-2.47%
-2.00%
+14.81%
+12.90%
-12.16%
-9.07%
-11.42%
+2.52%
2024
+7.95%
+48.16%
-14.08%
-7.71%
+86.42%
+8.68%
+45.36%
+4.79%
-8.63%
-16.67%
-3.56%
+9.91%
2023
-0.48%
+1.45%
+1.90%
-1.40%
+7.11%
+9.73%
-7.26%
-2.61%
+3.13%
+0.43%
+4.31%
+24.79%
2022
-10.38%
0.00%
+1.29%
-14.83%
+7.96%
-4.15%
-5.10%
+14.49%
-4.42%
-11.48%
+4.60%
+4.00%
2021
-14.52%
+7.77%
+18.02%
+12.60%
-13.90%
-7.09%
+0.42%
-13.92%
+0.98%
+2.91%
+2.36%
+19.82%
2020
-8.29%
-4.46%
-3.47%
+11.74%
+9.77%
-5.74%
+20.67%
-2.67%
+7.32%
+13.74%
2019
+5.63%
-0.21%
-3.74%
-2.22%
-1.70%
-5.66%
+0.61%
-3.53%
+0.38%
+0.88%
-0.25%
+6.87%
2018
+5.83%
-6.88%
+2.96%
-3.83%
+16.92%
-3.40%
-0.88%
-4.00%
-4.17%
-20.39%
+11.65%
-3.48%
2017
-3.20%
+5.82%
-1.83%
+0.33%
-0.99%
-0.66%
-0.11%
+5.02%
+5.41%
+2.72%
+3.92%
-2.83%
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