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Election
93.81%
2000
91.98%
Probability %
Average return %
-6.14%
+3.81%
+3.98%
+6.15%
-3.80%
+0.96%
-4.97%
+4.86%
-5.78%
+2.90%
+9.05%
+7.02%
2026
+1.75%
+6.90%
-22.42%
-0.42%
+8.56%
+12.69%
-27.82%
+10.64%
-5.77%
--
2025
-5.74%
-1.42%
-23.56%
-3.38%
-11.48%
-7.47%
+4.51%
+14.09%
-3.59%
+26.03%
-6.23%
-0.35%
2024
-3.23%
+7.54%
-13.05%
+0.38%
-4.86%
-4.32%
-13.14%
-5.32%
+2.00%
-7.34%
+8.59%
-8.88%
2023
+0.51%
+14.63%
+32.67%
+21.89%
+6.67%
-0.51%
-13.46%
+8.15%
-19.32%
-10.87%
+18.48%
-5.31%
2022
-17.30%
+7.69%
+4.46%
-16.67%
+1.03%
-13.71%
+9.41%
+5.24%
-9.32%
+0.70%
+16.92%
-5.62%
2021
+1.23%
+8.18%
+64.15%
+46.59%
-15.25%
+4.81%
-0.66%
-5.15%
-10.57%
+14.46%
-1.49%
+38.76%
2020
-14.02%
-6.50%
-29.02%
+26.29%
+2.04%
+15.07%
+3.59%
+8.95%
+3.18%
+16.42%
+10.68%
+25.87%
2019
-5.63%
+5.47%
-1.91%
-9.46%
+0.32%
-6.34%
+1.72%
-4.06%
+2.70%
+8.81%
+7.26%
2018
-5.67%
-3.01%
-9.30%
-7.26%
-7.37%
+10.95%
-4.93%
+6.60%
-7.52%
-21.34%
+21.05%
+7.04%
2017
-13.30%
-1.35%
+37.27%
-3.97%
-7.93%
-8.24%
-0.82%
+3.70%
-2.78%
+5.31%
+4.65%
+4.44%
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