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Pre-election
80.74%
2004
90.69%
Probability %
Average return %
-5.07%
+12.21%
-3.17%
+6.09%
-3.53%
+5.98%
-3.04%
+5.66%
-0.77%
-5.58%
+4.73%
+5.57%
2026
+12.28%
+15.38%
+24.44%
-17.38%
-12.97%
-2.32%
+2.88%
+16.47%
+2.12%
--
2025
-1.80%
+12.40%
-11.03%
-6.10%
+3.03%
-8.82%
+1.61%
+3.85%
+0.87%
+4.76%
+9.50%
-1.70%
2024
-9.66%
+20.74%
-13.02%
+8.11%
+25.77%
-6.42%
-13.07%
+4.51%
+7.55%
-12.88%
+1.15%
-4.93%
2023
+1.00%
+27.23%
-3.70%
-9.09%
-7.56%
-3.37%
-6.47%
+6.12%
+19.05%
-9.05%
+4.63%
+12.17%
2022
-15.92%
+14.87%
-1.06%
+7.71%
-10.32%
-24.30%
+16.18%
-9.49%
-15.15%
-3.02%
+13.88%
-0.50%
2021
-22.47%
+13.64%
+48.40%
-19.38%
+105.73%
-28.76%
+5.21%
-1.36%
-30.49%
+4.69%
+0.69%
2020
-12.76%
-8.84%
-16.42%
+32.14%
-5.41%
+8.21%
-5.61%
+11.54%
-4.70%
-6.25%
+11.23%
+43.22%
2019
-4.39%
+4.25%
-1.30%
+9.58%
-9.28%
+3.17%
+3.71%
-0.56%
-0.43%
+3.74%
-3.90%
+5.31%
2018
-4.72%
-3.48%
-8.74%
-1.10%
-0.59%
-12.34%
+5.25%
+1.28%
-4.04%
+1.97%
+0.26%
-0.26%
2017
+25.94%
-10.40%
-11.39%
+1.42%
+0.24%
-6.08%
+17.67%
-8.69%
+0.96%
+1.14%
-3.89%
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