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Election
81.41%
2004
91.28%
Probability %
Average return %
-4.34%
+7.17%
-1.89%
+11.20%
-0.96%
+6.01%
-3.61%
+2.49%
-2.39%
-3.16%
+6.75%
+0.17%
2026
+3.15%
+0.16%
-4.49%
-1.51%
-1.36%
+2.59%
-4.21%
+8.79%
+6.46%
--
2025
-1.85%
+11.86%
-7.07%
-8.76%
+5.62%
-4.12%
-3.76%
+3.16%
-1.26%
+6.20%
+6.70%
-2.74%
2024
-1.97%
+9.58%
-2.96%
+8.14%
+0.67%
+1.60%
-11.17%
-5.03%
+1.56%
-5.21%
+0.49%
-4.51%
2023
-1.67%
+13.42%
+3.50%
+1.45%
-7.94%
+5.17%
-9.67%
+2.72%
+3.71%
-6.64%
+14.23%
+5.43%
2022
-14.94%
+19.30%
-3.98%
+4.28%
-1.59%
-22.48%
-0.17%
-5.57%
-9.02%
-5.87%
+13.76%
+1.70%
2021
-15.17%
+11.73%
+20.00%
+75.62%
-9.37%
+71.47%
-32.06%
+12.58%
-10.58%
-21.76%
+7.85%
-1.72%
2020
-6.20%
-4.50%
-15.09%
+19.26%
-1.55%
+5.36%
-6.59%
+11.54%
-2.87%
-1.18%
+18.26%
+6.84%
2019
-7.37%
+2.84%
+0.55%
+6.87%
+2.06%
+14.83%
-9.35%
-6.14%
-3.40%
-1.63%
-2.20%
2018
-0.60%
-4.85%
-4.14%
+12.96%
-0.88%
-0.59%
+15.22%
-4.40%
+7.32%
+2.53%
-2.46%
-4.04%
2017
+3.25%
+12.20%
-5.26%
-6.30%
+4.74%
+2.64%
+1.47%
+10.51%
-4.26%
+6.85%
+3.53%
+2.79%
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