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Election
86.14%
2020
90.25%
Probability %
Average return %
-3.36%
+3.40%
+1.15%
+8.32%
+2.59%
-2.24%
+1.53%
+5.40%
-4.70%
-4.10%
+5.69%
-0.47%
2026
-5.80%
-5.05%
+27.38%
+16.54%
-16.89%
-1.63%
+23.55%
+1.00%
--
2025
-9.21%
+4.93%
-11.60%
-5.00%
-0.99%
-10.30%
-5.56%
+1.18%
+3.10%
-15.04%
-6.19%
+5.66%
2024
-3.72%
-1.38%
-4.20%
+16.08%
+9.32%
+7.37%
+3.65%
-12.01%
-10.35%
-7.61%
+18.47%
-8.87%
2023
-1.12%
+4.53%
+7.58%
+0.34%
+0.33%
+3.00%
+16.50%
-6.11%
-8.58%
+1.62%
+12.42%
+6.52%
2022
-9.29%
-1.57%
+8.00%
-9.26%
+2.86%
-4.76%
+7.08%
+8.17%
-3.60%
-5.97%
+8.33%
-1.83%
2021
-8.33%
+2.39%
+13.55%
+36.63%
-18.98%
+3.72%
-10.04%
-0.80%
+7.63%
+4.10%
-3.58%
+4.09%
+0.87%
-9.09%
-14.19%
+14.33%
+18.46%
+7.67%
+11.23%
+37.86%
-19.72%
-1.32%
+5.33%
-3.80%
2019
+0.66%
+8.01%
+5.90%
+1.29%
-2.82%
-1.31%
-1.62%
-2.69%
+3.53%
+7.57%
+22.76%
-9.33%
2018
+0.93%
-0.77%
+4.81%
-6.52%
+12.68%
-1.69%
+6.15%
+10.11%
-11.38%
-18.51%
+5.25%
-2.09%
2017
+1.40%
+27.42%
+6.74%
+7.94%
-11.51%
-9.17%
-10.45%
-5.24%
-2.90%
-1.71%
-11.59%
+5.41%
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