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Election
62.16%
2008
84.21%
Probability %
Average return %
+1.22%
+8.05%
+2.39%
+7.05%
+9.91%
-2.59%
-4.96%
+7.28%
-3.25%
-3.48%
+2.13%
+3.55%
2026
-6.01%
+24.17%
+14.32%
+34.05%
+18.25%
-19.14%
-18.02%
+8.19%
-8.09%
--
2025
+2.87%
+3.59%
-15.77%
-2.28%
+5.61%
+29.20%
-0.34%
+47.77%
-16.98%
-12.32%
-1.28%
+23.95%
2024
+10.85%
+5.04%
+19.86%
+21.14%
+62.74%
-0.58%
-15.16%
+9.62%
-11.29%
-5.30%
-2.99%
-6.15%
2023
-0.16%
+0.79%
-0.94%
+1.26%
0.00%
-6.07%
+0.99%
-1.80%
+1.50%
-1.15%
+3.99%
+0.32%
2022
-0.17%
+7.71%
+7.95%
+2.06%
-3.46%
-10.76%
+2.85%
-2.44%
+3.84%
-3.22%
+8.97%
-2.90%
2021
-3.98%
+5.05%
+1.37%
+9.64%
-11.57%
+4.01%
-3.36%
-1.91%
-1.24%
+0.18%
+3.22%
+1.39%
2020
+2.44%
-6.42%
-10.59%
+13.82%
+5.59%
-1.09%
+8.29%
-3.23%
-2.46%
+2.16%
+1.94%
2019
+5.92%
+6.21%
+8.77%
-3.58%
+2.23%
-10.91%
-3.47%
+1.69%
+1.98%
+3.98%
+0.39%
+3.91%
2018
+1.45%
+21.37%
-1.27%
+0.55%
+17.55%
-2.64%
-8.63%
-5.77%
-10.20%
-11.47%
+10.50%
-3.70%
2017
-1.05%
+12.96%
+0.23%
-6.19%
+2.12%
-7.93%
-4.64%
+9.17%
+6.36%
+0.48%
-5.83%
+13.15%
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