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Election
77.55%
2004
90.51%
Probability %
Average return %
-5.62%
+0.33%
-7.15%
+10.90%
-1.05%
+1.72%
-0.73%
+6.02%
-2.30%
-3.67%
+1.23%
+6.88%
2026
-13.60%
-8.56%
-8.16%
+32.57%
+1.49%
-25.91%
+22.38%
-6.57%
--
2025
+2.20%
+1.29%
-16.43%
-14.36%
+33.17%
-7.14%
+1.44%
-6.82%
+45.68%
-11.31%
+23.62%
+33.44%
2024
+0.39%
+7.36%
-10.83%
-3.24%
+17.57%
+11.74%
-12.42%
-5.45%
-4.62%
+5.65%
-9.54%
-4.22%
2023
+1.70%
+11.82%
-0.88%
+12.44%
-8.30%
+6.47%
+25.91%
-20.26%
-6.45%
-3.45%
+11.16%
+3.21%
2022
-9.06%
-2.58%
-0.76%
-3.05%
+1.57%
-7.75%
+0.42%
+5.44%
-12.70%
-9.27%
+0.70%
-0.70%
2021
-13.68%
+1.98%
+4.37%
+66.98%
-13.65%
-10.97%
+1.09%
-13.98%
+7.92%
+7.34%
-1.08%
+8.36%
2020
-12.93%
-4.85%
-37.58%
+29.08%
-5.34%
+0.21%
+3.33%
+44.96%
-14.71%
-7.23%
-2.29%
+9.86%
2019
-0.25%
+0.50%
+6.33%
-6.30%
-20.30%
+25.47%
-2.49%
-8.68%
-2.66%
-0.86%
-10.00%
+22.06%
2018
-5.88%
-0.96%
-5.44%
-3.70%
-9.17%
-0.59%
+6.49%
+39.14%
-23.82%
-13.49%
-0.24%
-2.55%
2017
-5.10%
-2.68%
-2.07%
-1.41%
-7.50%
+5.41%
-5.13%
+3.47%
-9.33%
-0.41%
-1.24%
-7.53%
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