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Election
84.04%
2020
83.08%
Probability %
Average return %
-1.25%
+4.44%
+0.47%
-0.34%
+5.14%
+1.86%
+3.09%
+0.44%
-4.75%
+3.39%
+4.14%
+1.23%
2026
+4.26%
+6.38%
-4.32%
+15.79%
+33.12%
+22.76%
-18.54%
+13.41%
-2.87%
--
2025
+6.99%
+2.27%
-5.56%
-4.41%
+5.08%
-3.37%
+2.88%
+12.81%
+6.92%
-0.49%
-7.48%
-0.27%
2024
-3.51%
+0.30%
+0.59%
-1.62%
-0.30%
-1.49%
-1.97%
+11.59%
-4.02%
-5.05%
2023
+2.93%
+6.13%
-5.08%
+4.53%
-5.38%
-0.69%
-9.36%
+2.31%
-1.51%
+7.95%
-3.12%
2022
-8.39%
+7.75%
-1.09%
-12.67%
+6.05%
-5.59%
-5.04%
+3.32%
-11.42%
-9.71%
+12.36%
-2.57%
2021
-1.47%
+18.01%
+9.08%
-7.28%
-3.74%
+3.37%
+49.12%
-5.46%
-13.60%
+2.47%
-6.02%
-0.64%
-10.67%
-3.81%
-18.36%
+20.38%
+4.74%
+2.85%
-2.93%
-3.36%
-2.78%
-0.89%
+7.93%
+13.86%
2019
-4.08%
+3.96%
+2.97%
-3.34%
+4.05%
-2.52%
+1.72%
+1.54%
+8.18%
-8.26%
+3.05%
2018
-2.89%
-8.43%
+11.27%
-3.03%
+3.24%
+0.94%
+6.83%
-11.51%
-14.21%
-18.27%
+36.13%
-0.43%
2017
+4.38%
+9.85%
+7.32%
-6.20%
+3.31%
-1.29%
+2.11%
+4.28%
-9.58%
+39.17%
-1.33%
+6.25%
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