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Election
72.00%
2014
79.81%
Probability %
Average return %
-0.97%
+1.29%
-2.90%
+4.89%
-2.45%
-0.56%
-0.38%
+2.96%
-1.44%
-0.76%
+6.50%
+3.27%
2026
-10.35%
-0.96%
-7.56%
-4.73%
-11.35%
-7.73%
+10.40%
-5.93%
+2.50%
--
2025
+2.86%
+5.63%
-13.03%
+3.03%
-3.30%
+18.15%
-4.95%
-3.38%
+2.03%
+6.86%
+0.06%
+4.11%
2024
-6.31%
+10.96%
+1.56%
-11.52%
+2.60%
+1.50%
+0.83%
+12.30%
+2.62%
+7.57%
+7.70%
-3.78%
2023
-8.12%
-10.09%
-0.81%
+7.06%
+3.12%
+9.80%
+6.54%
+6.95%
+2.36%
-28.47%
+20.78%
+5.92%
2022
+16.29%
-7.36%
+6.00%
+0.81%
-13.71%
-6.93%
+8.08%
+4.45%
-15.85%
+4.21%
-0.09%
-3.86%
2021
-4.42%
-3.33%
+4.71%
+4.65%
+7.88%
-3.49%
-2.74%
+3.33%
+6.84%
+12.49%
+8.97%
2020
-10.05%
-8.46%
-18.48%
+26.97%
-12.95%
-17.10%
-6.95%
+14.61%
-8.01%
+2.15%
+17.41%
+13.17%
2019
+11.85%
+14.70%
-0.86%
+3.18%
+7.93%
-3.20%
+2.68%
-7.83%
-0.94%
-2.67%
+0.68%
-0.49%
2018
+1.63%
-2.16%
-5.06%
+0.72%
-5.41%
+12.45%
-11.08%
+7.05%
+6.67%
-4.53%
-0.62%
-12.26%
2017
-3.03%
+13.95%
+4.52%
+18.77%
-9.03%
-6.58%
-1.98%
-4.20%
+1.24%
+0.11%
+17.68%
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