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Election
88.82%
2016
87.80%
Probability %
Average return %
-6.80%
+4.59%
+0.37%
+11.34%
+0.36%
-0.05%
+5.03%
+1.31%
+2.61%
-0.56%
+1.46%
-5.61%
2026
-6.22%
-5.18%
+7.57%
-8.01%
-5.81%
+5.96%
+6.69%
+1.18%
-8.72%
--
2025
-6.39%
+9.32%
+7.43%
-9.69%
+14.20%
+5.81%
-6.59%
+0.54%
+2.70%
-2.45%
+13.03%
-6.68%
2024
+3.40%
+13.83%
-1.59%
+8.70%
+7.91%
-10.44%
-7.23%
+0.93%
-2.78%
-7.83%
+3.33%
+9.56%
2023
-12.35%
-3.86%
-2.13%
-2.43%
-4.07%
+18.33%
+7.51%
+3.55%
-3.74%
+8.63%
-7.65%
-8.28%
2022
-7.15%
+7.70%
+17.54%
+23.19%
+2.33%
-27.14%
+37.63%
+1.91%
-11.50%
+3.73%
+12.23%
-18.08%
2021
+11.70%
+36.13%
-8.85%
+37.55%
+23.62%
+25.56%
-7.31%
+11.94%
+21.90%
+9.53%
+1.14%
+4.51%
2020
-19.64%
-8.60%
-29.21%
+58.04%
-7.08%
-20.95%
-3.61%
+35.62%
-19.35%
+25.71%
-6.36%
-16.99%
2019
+3.54%
+9.27%
-1.79%
+0.91%
-21.17%
-6.86%
+15.95%
-21.69%
+45.27%
-11.63%
+28.42%
+12.70%
2018
-26.85%
-8.10%
+4.96%
+7.35%
-5.38%
+6.20%
+9.49%
-13.78%
-7.22%
-18.06%
-19.32%
-16.81%
2017
-8.00%
-4.65%
+9.75%
-2.16%
-0.93%
+3.06%
-2.28%
-7.12%
-1.76%
-12.66%
-11.71%
-10.45%
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