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Election
51.40%
2008
77.61%
Probability %
Average return %
+9.13%
-3.06%
-5.18%
+6.47%
-11.95%
+16.04%
+36.86%
-1.66%
-2.69%
-1.79%
-1.44%
-0.57%
2026
-4.86%
-19.89%
+10.64%
+21.79%
-38.95%
-7.76%
-6.54%
-4.00%
-6.25%
--
2025
+2.51%
-11.02%
-12.84%
+13.16%
+6.98%
-6.96%
+57.48%
-5.34%
-8.78%
-5.15%
+0.72%
-33.45%
2024
+46.03%
-6.52%
-16.28%
-18.06%
-3.39%
-14.04%
+32.65%
+35.38%
+3.41%
+34.07%
+39.34%
+40.59%
2023
+44.64%
+4.94%
-27.06%
-11.29%
-5.45%
+19.23%
+6.45%
-13.64%
+8.16%
-7.55%
+28.57%
2022
-13.51%
-4.69%
-18.03%
0.00%
-2.00%
-2.04%
-8.33%
-9.09%
+27.50%
-7.84%
+21.28%
-1.75%
2021
-18.92%
+38.33%
+28.92%
-19.63%
-17.44%
+42.25%
+12.87%
-12.28%
-6.00%
-18.09%
+5.19%
-8.64%
2020
+50.00%
-42.42%
+5.26%
-5.00%
-21.05%
+146.67%
+210.81%
-20.87%
+15.38%
-5.71%
-21.21%
-5.13%
2019
+14.29%
+56.25%
-28.00%
+11.11%
-20.00%
+15.00%
-4.35%
2018
-3.45%
-14.29%
-16.67%
+2.50%
+9.76%
-15.56%
+4.65%
-11.11%
-12.50%
-51.43%
-17.65%
2017
+25.00%
-22.22%
-3.33%
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